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US consumers hug wallets in face of financial storm October 31, 2008

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US consumers slashed spending by a sharp 0.3 percent in September in the face of an intense financial market storm that is tipping the economy into recession, government data showed Friday.

A Commerce Department report said the drop in spending — which accounts for two-thirds of US economic activity — came even as incomes rose 0.2 percent.

The decline in spending was the steepest since June 2004, according to officials, and sharper than the average 0.2 percent decline expected by private economists. Adjusted for inflation, the drop was a steeper 0.4 percent.

The income gain was a bit more than the consensus forecast of a 0.1 percent rise, but inflation-adjusted incomes were up just 0.1 percent.

The monthly report was no surprise, since it came a day after the government report on July-September gross domestic product (GDP) showing an annualized 3.1 percent decline in consumer spending in the quarter, the biggest drop since 1980.

The sharp drop in consumer spending drove third-quarter GDP into a 0.2 percent contraction, confirming predictions that the world’s biggest economy is heading into a deeper recession.

The head of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Janet Yellen, speaking Wednesday after the release of the GDP report, said that “for the fourth quarter, it appears likely that the economy is contracting significantly. Mainly for this reason, inflationary risks have diminished greatly.”

John Ryding at RDQ Economics said that although Friday’s data on consumer spending and incomes was “old news — in the sense that the data are already embedded in the third-quarter GDP decline — it underscores that we are in a consumer recession.”

Ryding underlined that real consumer spending had declined at a 3.9 percent annualized rate in the past three months and predicted another sharp decline in the fourth quarter, when retailers realize the bulk of their earnings in the holiday shopping season.

Brian Bethune, US economist at IHS Global Insight said that “conditions for consumer spending in the fourth quarter are not expected to improve, with further downward pressure on employment, consumer confidence and net household worth. As a result, we expect another sharp quarterly decline in real consumer spending.”

An inflation index linked to the report, the personal consumption expenditure index, increased 0.1 percent and the core PCE index, excluding food and energy, rose 0.2 percent.

In August headline inflation fell “less than” 0.1 percent and core PCE rose 0.2 percent, the department said in revised estimates.

The Federal Reserve, which uses the PCE reading to monitor inflationary pressures, is now focused on the slowing economy as it faces the stiff headwinds of the worst global credit crisis in seven decades and a real-estate sector slump.

The Fed slashed its key interest rate by a half point for the second time this month Wednesday, to a historic low of 1.0 percent, in a bid to unblock credit flows and stimulate growth.

The savings rate rose to 1.3 percent of disposable income in September as consumers slammed their wallets shut in the face of falling home prices, rising unemployment and growing financial turmoil.

The Commerce Department sharply lowered its estimate of the August savings rate to 0.8 percent, from 1.9 percent.

The effects of a massive government financial rescue package that sent tens of billions of tax rebate to boost spending faded. The government said a total 106.7 billion dollars in tax rebates were distributed in the 2008 fiscal year that ended September 30.

The majority of rebates were sent out from late April to mid-July.

Get Out of Debt With a Credit Consolidation Lender October 22, 2008

Posted by bishang in Credit cards, Debt Consolidation.
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Having your first baby is an exciting time that’s filled with planning and organising for the new person about to enter your life. From choosing a name, to getting a nursery ready and buying everything you will need, the list is seemingly endless and you will need to have finances in place to make sure you can provide everything that is required.

From birth through to infancy you will need specific supplies and equipment. A cot for your baby to sleep in is an essential and if you are a car owner you will need an infant car seat to keep your little one safe whilst on the road.

A changing table or mat is another piece of equipment many parents find useful to have in their home. Baby strollers will give your child a little more freedom to roam around as they grow, and high chairs are another essential purchase that will help keep meal times under control and mean children can join you at the table. More obvious essential basic purchases include nappies, bottles, baby food and basic baby clothing.

There’s no doubt about it, the arrival of your first child will definitely alter your financial status as you attempt to provide for an extra person out of the same income. After you’ve bought all the essentials you need to consider other factors such as childcare. If you plan to return to work after the birth you will have to arrange professional childcare, unless you are lucky enough to have a family member willing to care for your infant whilst you work.

Expenses are likely to fluctuate with your child’s age. From birth to infancy, costs will be high due to the basics you will need to purchase for the first time. You will be glad to hear, however, from the ages of four to around twelve the expense drops somewhat. Teenage years can be a costly time as your little bundle of joy will have grown up into a fashion and trend conscious young adult.

Finding ways to improve your financial outlook before your baby arrives is a therefore a good idea. Begin by paying off any major debts and review your budget. A spot of cost cutting will allow you to put aside money for a ‘baby budget’ and you can keep adding to this throughout the pregnancy.